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romney had surged in the tracking poll. the two candidates were actually tied in the three days immediately after the debate, but the president seems to have wiped out romney's gains in the gallup poll. joining me right now are howard fineman, editorial director of the "huffington post," and the honorable michael nutter, mayor of philadelphia and presidential surrogate in this tough campaign. gentlemen, thank you for joining us. always go to the elected official first. mr. mayor, what needs to be done right now to right this ship, to get obama back on a winning course? >> well, the president is on a winning course and as you laid out earlier, chris, with all the things that mitt romney either lied about or denied about -- what we call that in philadelphia is just lying, denying, and alibiing. and if that's what you're going to spend your time doing and focus on style, then you'll have a pretty decent night. president obama is focused on substance. let me give you three quick numbers here, chris, which i think ultimately is
romney had surged in the tracking poll. the two candidates were actually tied in the three days immediately after the debate, but the president seems to have wiped out romney's gains in the gallup poll. joining me right now are howard fineman, editorial director of the "huffington post," and the honorable michael nutter, mayor of philadelphia and presidential surrogate in this tough campaign. gentlemen, thank you for joining us. always go to the elected official first. mr. mayor, what...
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it appears that in one poll, in the pew poll, mitt romney is up against the president and in the gallup seven-day tracking poll, the president is up 50 to 45, if i have mitt romney's number right in that poll. this race has been, is, and will continue to be until election day a very close race. and so either side can take heart in a poll that shows his or her candidate being on top but, remember, this race is basically tied. >> now, the vice presidential debate, the one and only one, will be be this thursday night and paul ryan, the republican vice presidential nominee, was questioning his weekend on what he was doing to prepare for the debate. here's his response. >> how you feeling about the debate? >> what debate? oh, yeah. i better get ready for that. >> you know, i better get started. you just reminded me. no, it's going well. >> what are you looking for in that debate, marge, on thursday night? >> well, first of all, paul ryan should focus on explaining the math. that's something he dismissed when asked about it on fox news about a week or two ago. >> right. >> so he should now fi
it appears that in one poll, in the pew poll, mitt romney is up against the president and in the gallup seven-day tracking poll, the president is up 50 to 45, if i have mitt romney's number right in that poll. this race has been, is, and will continue to be until election day a very close race. and so either side can take heart in a poll that shows his or her candidate being on top but, remember, this race is basically tied. >> now, the vice presidential debate, the one and only one, will...
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while personal popularity has long been one of the president's strikes, the poll shows mitt romney is now also scoring high marks. the two men are essentially tied on likability. a new poll of likely voters by "the washington post" and abc news puts the race within the margin of error. president obama 49%, mitt romney 46%. both campaigns are expressing concern about the moderator of the second debate. candy crowley will be hosting the debate, and she suggested that she'll play a larger role than agreed to by the candidates. according to "time" magazine's mark halperin, the two campaigns have raised objections saying the moderator's participation should be much more limited than she's leading people to believe. crowley has suggested she'll ask follow-up questions, which is not part of the agreed upon format. >>> as the candidates get in their final cram session before tomorrow night's debate, aides say president obama will be more aggressive, and mitt romney's camp says he'll be ready. for details, we go now to nbc's tracie potts for the latest. good morning to you. >> reporter: good m
while personal popularity has long been one of the president's strikes, the poll shows mitt romney is now also scoring high marks. the two men are essentially tied on likability. a new poll of likely voters by "the washington post" and abc news puts the race within the margin of error. president obama 49%, mitt romney 46%. both campaigns are expressing concern about the moderator of the second debate. candy crowley will be hosting the debate, and she suggested that she'll play a...
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wall street journal front-page romney target's obama voters and the poll shows high rates. the governor tries to kill support from obama supporters. and then the "baltimore sun" this morning in the first set when obama returns to the trenches. the campaign stop in ohio and the 15th stock yesterday in the state in 2012. was his 30th trip he's taking office in this 15th this year alone to read it so both candidates campaigning in ohio and then as we said showing the race tightening after the debate here is "the new york post" this morning showing that nationwide according to the gallup, romney is up 49%. president obama 37% coming and then here you can see the state of ohio this is a cnn report showing president obama the four-point lead over governor romney in ohio the american research group showing romney up 48% in ohio and president obama 47%, so tightening across the country in the battleground states. samford for the democratic call. we will go back to the topic here. the supreme court to hear affirmative action cases today. what do you think clacks >> caller: back in t
wall street journal front-page romney target's obama voters and the poll shows high rates. the governor tries to kill support from obama supporters. and then the "baltimore sun" this morning in the first set when obama returns to the trenches. the campaign stop in ohio and the 15th stock yesterday in the state in 2012. was his 30th trip he's taking office in this 15th this year alone to read it so both candidates campaigning in ohio and then as we said showing the race tightening...
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three days of polling after the debate, take a look, romney polling even with the president, erasing a five-point deficit. but then friday's strong jobs report could turn that around. i'm joined now by gallup poll editor in chief frank newport. frank, good to see you. good morning. >> good morning! >> okay, so, let me know what you think. how's the race shaping up? how much have we seen? how much have you been able to poll up to this point? >> boy, we're studying the numbers. in fact, we're just looking at the numbers from last night, which we're adding to our rolling average which we will report out at 1:00 today at gallup.com. our view of the race is that romney definitely got a significant boost on thursday and friday of last week. and by the way, that's probably what was picked up for the most part in that pew poll that was discussed. >> okay. >> but when we monitor our data from saturday and sunday, and now just looking at the numbers from last night, obama is picking back up again. so, we think that that continuation of a huge move by romney is not in the data. so, overall, we
three days of polling after the debate, take a look, romney polling even with the president, erasing a five-point deficit. but then friday's strong jobs report could turn that around. i'm joined now by gallup poll editor in chief frank newport. frank, good to see you. good morning. >> good morning! >> okay, so, let me know what you think. how's the race shaping up? how much have we seen? how much have you been able to poll up to this point? >> boy, we're studying the numbers....
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people on twitter critique each poll. you have a run of romney polls that are good for him. people perceive patterns and random noise all the time. at the end of the day, if you digest everything with a coke of whiskey, whatever you want, you have time to add more perspective. we have more important and dramatic days with shifts in the race. most of the time, especially in the summer, it adds up to nothing. it was the same story, day after day after day. >> it was important to look at the average of polls. i think it's what happens at five thirty eight. there are other polls. i think one of the things i have to be careful of as consumers of polls is you can't trust a single or individual poll. gallup is doing a tracking poll, it's a trend. if you look at gallup and pugh, they found conflicting results by a difference of six percentage points. you can't trust any single poll. you have to go to the average. >> are we doing no more now that we have more polling? is it the case we have a more accurate sense because of a larger body of data, we can average it out, sitting here 25
people on twitter critique each poll. you have a run of romney polls that are good for him. people perceive patterns and random noise all the time. at the end of the day, if you digest everything with a coke of whiskey, whatever you want, you have time to add more perspective. we have more important and dramatic days with shifts in the race. most of the time, especially in the summer, it adds up to nothing. it was the same story, day after day after day. >> it was important to look at the...
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epic-mra poll, obama, 48%, romney, 45%. we'll be right back. boy, they are close. >>> we're back. throughout this election year we've watched president obama and governor romney's campaigns carefully craft a message on who exactly their candidate is and what makes them tick. well, a pbs frontline documentary airing tonight is breaking through the talking points to find out what made these two presidential candidates the men they are in the words of their friends, family, enemies, and the reporters who have covered them. let's watch. >> he is a pragmatic business person. he's a guy who likes to take apart a problem and figure out how to get it fixed. >> barack obama is a fascinating mixture of boldness and caution but then once he makes a decision, it's usually the bold one. >> mitt romney has been accused of flip-flopping, but on mormonism he will never flip-flop. >> and yet in politics he has often tried to keep that part of him behind the curtain. >> the backlash against his presidency must be mystifying to him because he
epic-mra poll, obama, 48%, romney, 45%. we'll be right back. boy, they are close. >>> we're back. throughout this election year we've watched president obama and governor romney's campaigns carefully craft a message on who exactly their candidate is and what makes them tick. well, a pbs frontline documentary airing tonight is breaking through the talking points to find out what made these two presidential candidates the men they are in the words of their friends, family, enemies, and...
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mitt romney and barack obama really neck and neck whether you're looking at the national polls or the battleground state polls. >> yeah, that's right. there's no question about it, joe. and you can see that the -- as we've gotten a little bit further away from that first debate where president obama performed so poorly, you can see that the lingering effects of it have been a little less than we might have thought before. there's no question mitt romney helped himself a little bit in terms of his likability, in terms of conservative and republican enthusiasm. the race in terms of the national numbers with back to being, as you said, joe, a jump ball. i keep looking at that ohio number at the end. when you think about the closer we get to election day, the more we have to think about what are the paths to 270 electoral votes. that ohio number at five is still a big problem for romney if he's going to try to get all the way there. >> richard wolffe, the bottom line is if mitt romney cannot win ohio, and at this point you've got early voting going in, absentee voting going in, that's hap
mitt romney and barack obama really neck and neck whether you're looking at the national polls or the battleground state polls. >> yeah, that's right. there's no question about it, joe. and you can see that the -- as we've gotten a little bit further away from that first debate where president obama performed so poorly, you can see that the lingering effects of it have been a little less than we might have thought before. there's no question mitt romney helped himself a little bit in...
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the reality is that governor romney has been searching for a foreign policy narrative in position and world view since the campaign started. his positions seem to bob and we've depending upon which advisers are speaking to him or where the polls might be going. on libya as near as i can tell the governor's had five different positions. monday's speech may count as the sixth. the one definitive step that he did take was to hold a press conference hours after the death of the u.s. ambassador there. before the facts were known, before all the families were notified, the governor -- sensing a political opening -- took to the airwaves to condemn u.s. embassy staff in cairo. he's been trying to play cleanup ever since, and monday's speech was no different. on afghanistan after complaints and outrage about the president's timeline for transition, governor romney did the unthinkable, he set a timeline for transition which coincidentally happens to track with the president's. governor romney said on monday, quote: i will pursue a real and successful transition to afghan security forces by the
the reality is that governor romney has been searching for a foreign policy narrative in position and world view since the campaign started. his positions seem to bob and we've depending upon which advisers are speaking to him or where the polls might be going. on libya as near as i can tell the governor's had five different positions. monday's speech may count as the sixth. the one definitive step that he did take was to hold a press conference hours after the death of the u.s. ambassador...
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romney is improving even though by small margins. we've seen him come up in several national polls, as well. how concerned is the obama campaign? >> when you heard all of the hand wringing and unhappiness with the first debate, those aren't terrible for obama. in particular, ohio. i mean, who knew that ohio might become obama's firewall? they put a lot of money in that state. i think they defined romney as the bain capital guy and that was not a good thing in the way obama people put those ads on the air. and i think the result is that if obama can hold that kind of lead in ohio, he might come out of this as long as biden does his job and obama is not as sleepy as he was in the first debate, couldn't procenounce dana's wonderful word from the beginning of the show. >> how much does format play into this? both will be seated. nine topics. ten minutes per topic. the questions whether go back and forth between domestic and foreign policy. does that lend itself to more conversation? do you you prepare differently for a debate format like
romney is improving even though by small margins. we've seen him come up in several national polls, as well. how concerned is the obama campaign? >> when you heard all of the hand wringing and unhappiness with the first debate, those aren't terrible for obama. in particular, ohio. i mean, who knew that ohio might become obama's firewall? they put a lot of money in that state. i think they defined romney as the bain capital guy and that was not a good thing in the way obama people put...
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the new "washington post"/abc news poll has president obama leading mitt romney by three points. that's three points among likely voters, 49% to 46%. in that same poll taken two weeks ago before, before the first debate, the president led by just two. he's picked up a point. and the new politico/george washington university battleground poll shows the president with a one-point lead. the same poll taken before the debate had the president with a two-point lead. you see how it's dancing around that knife edge. anyway, both campaigns, both the president's and romney's are into the closing argument phase of the race and both sides are putting out new ads today. first, this ad from the obama campaign. i think it's the best they've ever done, the finest ad i have seen in this campaign so far, and it's positive, thank god. it's narrated by the great morgan freeman, the spencer tracy of our time. let's listen. >> every president inherits challenges. few have faced so many. four years later our enemies have been brought to justice, our heroes are coming home. assembly lines are humming a
the new "washington post"/abc news poll has president obama leading mitt romney by three points. that's three points among likely voters, 49% to 46%. in that same poll taken two weeks ago before, before the first debate, the president led by just two. he's picked up a point. and the new politico/george washington university battleground poll shows the president with a one-point lead. the same poll taken before the debate had the president with a two-point lead. you see how it's...
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can the troops on the ground override romney's rise in the polls. and if president obama wins re-election, what will he owe the clintons? a fascinating look at what's being talked about behind the scenes. of any small business credit card! how does this thing work? oh, i like it! [ garth ] sven's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! woo-hoo!!! so that's ten security gators, right? put them on my spark card! why settle for less? testing hot tar... great businesses deserve the most rewards! [ male announcer ] the spark business card from capital one. choose unlimited rewards with 2% cash back or double miles on every purchase, every day! what's in your wallet? here's your invoice. it's called bankamerideals, from bank of america. i choose the cash back deals in my mobile or online banking. i just use my bank of america debit or credit card when i pay. put in my account. this is cash back on top of other rewards we already get. and best of all, it's free. friends help friends get deals. pass it on. [ male announcer ] introduc
can the troops on the ground override romney's rise in the polls. and if president obama wins re-election, what will he owe the clintons? a fascinating look at what's being talked about behind the scenes. of any small business credit card! how does this thing work? oh, i like it! [ garth ] sven's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! woo-hoo!!! so that's ten security gators, right? put them on my spark card! why settle for less? testing hot tar... great businesses...
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political analyst larry gersten breaks down confusing presidential polls, as well. >>> mitt romney show it's not wall street you have to worry about, it's sesame street. >> big bird's appearance in a satirical president obama ad is angering the producers of sesame street. they're demanding the ad be withdrawn, saying they do not endorse political candidates. the obama campaign says it's reviewing the producer's concern. you may remember that gop candidate mitt romney made comments about pbs and big bird and they were the biggest quotes to come out of last week's debate. >> one day president obama has the lead, the next day mitt romney has the lead. so many polls show very different results. >> so we want to bring in our political analyst. larry, every day it's something different. how do you know who to rely on? >> much of the answer has to do with the way pollsters ask questions, for example. how is the president managing the economy? that's one way. that's different than, is the economy better or worse for you than a year ago. a second potential problem centers on the people polled, l
political analyst larry gersten breaks down confusing presidential polls, as well. >>> mitt romney show it's not wall street you have to worry about, it's sesame street. >> big bird's appearance in a satirical president obama ad is angering the producers of sesame street. they're demanding the ad be withdrawn, saying they do not endorse political candidates. the obama campaign says it's reviewing the producer's concern. you may remember that gop candidate mitt romney made...
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first a "washington post"/abc news poll that had president obama up 49% to 46% over mitt romney among likely voters. there was a george washington poll that had closer, 49% for president obama and 48% for mitt romney among likely voters. that's the situation into the second presidential debate, the town hall format in hofstra in new york. >> the daily gallup tracking poll shows likely voter, obama 48% and romney 46%. i think it was friday, mark, you and i were talking about or thursday the numbers and polling. for analysts like yourself is where you expected the race to be at this time? >> right. in fact, we actually expected the race to be before we saw president obama with that very big surge he had after the democrat democrat democratic convention and after weeks of focus on the 47% remark. we came back to where we were at the very end of august right before the political conventions all kicked off. almost promising a very tight race, similar perhaps to 2004 between john kerry and george w. bush and even 2000 that close contest between george w. bush and al gore. >> we're going to
first a "washington post"/abc news poll that had president obama up 49% to 46% over mitt romney among likely voters. there was a george washington poll that had closer, 49% for president obama and 48% for mitt romney among likely voters. that's the situation into the second presidential debate, the town hall format in hofstra in new york. >> the daily gallup tracking poll shows likely voter, obama 48% and romney 46%. i think it was friday, mark, you and i were talking about or...
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epic-mra poll, obama, 48%, romney, 45%. we'll be right back. boy, they are close. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. bp has paid over twenty-three billion dollars to help those affected and to cover cleanup costs. today, the beaches and gulf are open, and many areas are reporting their best tourism seasons in years. and bp's also committed to america. we support nearly 250,000 jobs and invest more here than anywhere else. we're working to fuel america for generations to come. our commitment has never been stronger. in michigan, mitt romney's home ah. fire bad! just have to fire roast these tomatoes. do you churn your own butter too? what? this is going to give you a head start on your dinner. that seems easier sure does who are you? [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. five delicious cooking sauces you combine with fresh ingredients to make amazing home-cooked meals. in michigan, mitt romney's home ambiance [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. your head-start to home
epic-mra poll, obama, 48%, romney, 45%. we'll be right back. boy, they are close. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. bp has paid over twenty-three billion dollars to help those affected and to cover cleanup costs. today, the beaches and gulf are open, and many areas are reporting their best tourism seasons in years. and bp's also committed to america. we support nearly 250,000 jobs and invest more here than anywhere else. we're working to fuel america for generations...
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the new cnn poll of polls shows romney with a two-point lead nationally over president barack obama, and here's the latest polling out of ohio. it shows president obama with a three-point lead. >>> as president barack obama has visited ohio more than 20 times and most of those stops have been this year, mitt romney and paul ryan are there again this weekend as john shows us it is the battleground of the battleground states. and ohio's working moms could be the key to victory. >> the lights still on past midnight. another 20-hour day for jessica. >> i'm a single mom of a 5-year-old little girl who is fantastic. i work full time. and go to school full time. so my day usually starts around 4:45 in the morning, and ends close to 1:00 a.m. you do what you have to do in this economy. >> her vote, she said, is for jillian's future. she was leaning mitt romney until his own words pushed her back to undecided. >> about the 47%, and i can't worry about them. how can you put your faith and trust in a candidate that doesn't care about everybody? >> to win ohio and other key battlegrounds, romney
the new cnn poll of polls shows romney with a two-point lead nationally over president barack obama, and here's the latest polling out of ohio. it shows president obama with a three-point lead. >>> as president barack obama has visited ohio more than 20 times and most of those stops have been this year, mitt romney and paul ryan are there again this weekend as john shows us it is the battleground of the battleground states. and ohio's working moms could be the key to victory. >>...
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in the last poll it had increased to 82%. >> that's understandable. >> romney? >> no, we're getting a little bit closer to the election. people are paying more attention to the election. when you see the polls and try to understand why the numbers are so different between romney and obama, you have to understand the great majority feel that democrats represent their interests and care about their issues more than republicans. and what has hurt republicans is that very negative rhetoric on the immigration issue. that has hurt republicans tremendously. and the fact that now they have a candidate for the first time like george said. even in the last ee lerks, mccain, all of the candidates have embraced candidate reform. this is the first time they've said i want it for legal immigration. he keeps emphasizing legal immigration thinking that latis are so iorant tha they're going to buy it when he's talking about legal immigration and not finding a solution. i asked romney, with all due respect the fact that you are not answering this question makes people feel like y
in the last poll it had increased to 82%. >> that's understandable. >> romney? >> no, we're getting a little bit closer to the election. people are paying more attention to the election. when you see the polls and try to understand why the numbers are so different between romney and obama, you have to understand the great majority feel that democrats represent their interests and care about their issues more than republicans. and what has hurt republicans is that very negative...
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this is a reference to the poll that suggest mitt romney moved up both nationally and in some key battle ground states, including some polls that show he's winning in the buckeye state. ohio for mr. romney is a must win. no republicans ever got into the white house without winning here first. the romney campaign says they're very happy with the condition of the fundamentals. they think they've dramatically shifted and the next 27 days are headed in their direction, bill. >> bill: thank you. carl cameron in ohio. thank you. >>> we're getting a new look at the stage for tomorrow night's vice presidential showdown. this is in danville, ken, southwest of lexington. you can see the debate live here on fox news channel. our coverage starts tomorrow night, just a tick before 9:00 o'clock eastern time and shep will be there, too. anchor studio b in the afternoon and the fox report live in danville, kentucky and then on your local fox station. check your local listings for that. >>> the defense secretary, leon panetta, confirming that the united states has deployed american troops to help jordan
this is a reference to the poll that suggest mitt romney moved up both nationally and in some key battle ground states, including some polls that show he's winning in the buckeye state. ohio for mr. romney is a must win. no republicans ever got into the white house without winning here first. the romney campaign says they're very happy with the condition of the fundamentals. they think they've dramatically shifted and the next 27 days are headed in their direction, bill. >> bill: thank...
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but the poll ao shows the governor's approval rating jumping four points. he now tops the president by one point there. anthis oowhthe de i danville, kentucky. congressman paul ryan arriving late today in the bluegrass state ask said he's looking forward to his prime time faceoff. >> what i'm excited about is we get to off the american people jodes onsge heeees big stages. it's my first time. but what he can't run is president obama's indefensible record. they're offering a more of the same. >> bill: tonight the obama team is asking this, quoting now, whether congressman ryan will stand by t eme pio a gno ry h o e' dishonestly try to hide his positions by telling voters the exact opposite of what he and mitt romney have run on just like romney did last week. carl cameron is traveling wh the governor. he just wrapped autopsy ral in . engyo hod omp, carl? >> yesterday when we were in ohio, governor romney was asked by one register to talk about his abortion position and he said he didn't know of any legislation that might come up that would affecisge cdtalaom
but the poll ao shows the governor's approval rating jumping four points. he now tops the president by one point there. anthis oowhthe de i danville, kentucky. congressman paul ryan arriving late today in the bluegrass state ask said he's looking forward to his prime time faceoff. >> what i'm excited about is we get to off the american people jodes onsge heeees big stages. it's my first time. but what he can't run is president obama's indefensible record. they're offering a more of the...
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a new gallup poll shows governor romney gaining on the president since their first debate last week. before the debate, the president had a five-point lead in the poll and now they're dead even. look at this poll from the pugh research center, this out this afternoon the this is an important one. governor romney now leads the president by four points among likely voters. after trailing in that same poll by eight points a few weeks ago. we have team fox coverage. ed henry is in california. cal cameron in virginia. the governor covered a lot of ground in that speech. >> he did. this was mitt romney's attempt to suggest that president obama's foreign policy is essentially failed across the globe. there were a whole number of hot spots that they singled out. at one point he suggested the president has only hoped for a strategy and it's not a strategy and mr. romney said we simply can't afford four more years of the current foreign policy. here is a little of his speech. >> with iran closer than irrelevant to nuclear weapons capability, with the conflict in syria threatening to destabiliz
a new gallup poll shows governor romney gaining on the president since their first debate last week. before the debate, the president had a five-point lead in the poll and now they're dead even. look at this poll from the pugh research center, this out this afternoon the this is an important one. governor romney now leads the president by four points among likely voters. after trailing in that same poll by eight points a few weeks ago. we have team fox coverage. ed henry is in california. cal...
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we'll take you there live as polls in ohio seem to turn in mr. romney's favor. the drip, drip of near daily revelations about the murders of four americans in benghazi continues. during the noon hour eastern time a gop-led committee on capitol hill will grill government officials on diplomatic security in libya. what did we know? we'll have it for you live. white house press secretary jay carney, what is he up to today? he's holding his first press conference in two weeks. will he make news? we'll have it for you. bill: you have a busy day. jon: yes we do. bill: paying for a good idea. there is a state dishing out money to employees who have ideas to save taxpayers some cash jo a big explosion forcing hazmat teams to the scene. look at that. where all that went down, as bill and i come right back. [ male announcer ] when these come together, and these come together, one thing you can depend on is that these will come together. delicious and wholesome. some combinations were just meant to be. tomato soup from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. or annuity
we'll take you there live as polls in ohio seem to turn in mr. romney's favor. the drip, drip of near daily revelations about the murders of four americans in benghazi continues. during the noon hour eastern time a gop-led committee on capitol hill will grill government officials on diplomatic security in libya. what did we know? we'll have it for you live. white house press secretary jay carney, what is he up to today? he's holding his first press conference in two weeks. will he make news?...
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Oct 9, 2012
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so, yeah romney does well on the pugh poll, obama is leading in all of the rest of them. the in-trade -- peter can help me out with that. the in-trade average, i think is sort of like the las vegas betting average. >> yeah. yeah. yeah. >> bill: right. what the brokers are saying if you are placing bets or buying stock, the in-trade average by the way is obama 64 romney 35.7. so the prognosticators are not giving romney a great chance here. now what is more important is to go to the battleground states. pardon me. again, the battleground states, and there are about ten of them they are the ones that are really at play. it's going to be the electoral vote college. let's look at some of the battleground states. in pennsylvania president obama up by seven. florida tie. republican-leading state obama is still tied there. iowa, obama up by 3.2. colorado close. obama up by .2%. >> michigan obama up by 6. nevada obama up by 4.6. ohio, no republican has won the presidency without winning ohio obama is up by three. mitt romney and president obama are in ohio today. ohio is a key, k
so, yeah romney does well on the pugh poll, obama is leading in all of the rest of them. the in-trade -- peter can help me out with that. the in-trade average, i think is sort of like the las vegas betting average. >> yeah. yeah. yeah. >> bill: right. what the brokers are saying if you are placing bets or buying stock, the in-trade average by the way is obama 64 romney 35.7. so the prognosticators are not giving romney a great chance here. now what is more important is to go to the...